Tuesday, March 18, 2008

If Anyone's Looking For Me...

...I'll be glued to SCOTUSblog pretty much all day long.

Ya think their traffic's gonna spike slightly today?

UPDATE: Quote of the Day

"There are enough handguns on our streets"

~ Washington DC Mayor Adrian Fenty

Good thing they're banned.

What a tool.

Also, submit your Heller predictions here. Points to cover:

1. Individual right or collective "right"
2. DC Gun Ban, constitutional or not
3. Fine print
4. Margin of victory, or defeat, depending on your perspective

Here's mine:

I'm thinking 6-3 (or better) in favor of an individual right. If the left-leaning justices want to keep Roe around, they'll have to concede that the Bill of Rights is just that, an itemized list of protected individual rights.

That's my theory, and I'm sticking to it.

Given the pro-individual right ruling, I also believe the court will find the DC gun ban unconstitutional. Of course, that decision will be accompanied by all kinds of gobbledygook about "reasonable restrictions" and "common sense regulations".

Such feckless phrasing will be just what Fenty and his fanboys will be looking for, so that they can put in place their own set of "reasonable restrictions" that will pretty much mirror those gun laws and policies currently on the books in places like Brookline, Massachusetts, or worse yet, Chicago.

Translated: You cough up hundreds of dollars in licensing fees (along with photographs, fingerprints, training certificate, proof of paid gun club membership, and a signed affidavit from doctor of psychiatric medicine attesting to your mental stability), wait three to six months, then you obtain a license to own one break-action shotgun - single shot only. Double-barrel shotguns will require a "High Capacity Assault Shotgun License" for a $100 more. Handgun permits will be issued only to the rich and politically influential "special people".

So, I'm not seeing it as a BIG win, but a win on principle, nonetheless.

And, yes, I can't wait to fisk the dissent.

UPDATE II: Fenty spoke briefly to the press outside the Supreme Court, following today's oral arguments - while surrounded by people with guns.

He's special.

DC police chief Cathy Lanier, after speaking of the dangers of "high-capacity rounds", added:

I think the reasonableness standard of the handgun laws in the district, which are not completely banned, because there is licensed handguns in the District of Columbia for law enforcement, retired law enforcement, federal law enforcement, security agencies. So, there is not a complete ban on handguns.

Thanks for clearing that up, sweetheart.